Labour to win at least 64 seats in London in Tory ‘wipeout’ at general election, three polls show
Desk report: Labour is on course to win at least 64 seats in London at the general election, according to three new polls.
The More in Common research group analysed recent large scale surveys using the MRP polling method which were carried out by YouGov, Survation and Find Out Now.
It found that all three showed Labour winning in 64 constituencies in the capital, out of 75 seats, at the election which is widely expected to to be in the autumn.
Labour would win in a further three, according to two of the surveys.
The findings show the Tories would win between five and zero seats, with two of the surveys predicting they would hold Hornchurch and Upminster, and Old Bexley and Sidcup.
All three polls showed the Liberal Democrats winning at least five seats, in South West London.
Ed Hodgson, Research Manager at More in Common, said the polls suggested the Conservatives “are facing almost complete wipeout” in London at the next General Election.
He added: “While pollsters take different approaches to modelling the outcomes of different constituencies, there is broad agreement that Labour is on course for close to a clean sweep of seats in London.
“After winning around 20 seats in 2019, there are now only two seats where all the recent MRP models agree that the Tories could hold.”
He added: “Tories will hope that these predictions are the result of a broader realignment of Conservative voters away from large cities and the South and towards towns and the North of England.
“But given that Labour also looks set to win back much of their Northern ‘Red Wall’ heartlands, these predictions of sweeping Labour victories in London and across the south spells real danger for the Conservatives.”
